The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has kept its production forecasts for renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) unchanged for 2025 and 2026, according to its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released on February 11.
The EIA predicts renewable diesel production will average 230,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 250,000 barrels per day in 2026. This is an increase from 210,000 barrels per day in 2024. Net imports of renewable diesel are expected to remain steady at 20,000 barrels per day in both 2025 and 2026, compared to 30,000 barrels per day last year.
For renewable diesel consumption, the EIA forecasts an average of 250,000 barrels per day in 2025, followed by 270,000 barrels per day in 2026. This is consistent with the January forecast. Consumption was 240,000 barrels per day in 2024.
The outlook for other biofuels, including renewable heating oil, jet fuel (including SAF and alternative jet fuel), renewable naphtha, and renewable gasoline, remains unchanged. The EIA expects production to average 40,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 50,000 barrels per day in 2026, up from 20,000 barrels per day in 2024. Net imports of these biofuels are forecast at zero for both 2025 and 2026, consistent with last year.
The EIA also forecasts the consumption of other biofuels will rise from 20,000 barrels per day in 2024 to 40,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 50,000 barrels per day in 2026.
Related Topics:
- Diesel Fuel Caps: A Universal Solution for Efficiency and Protection
- What Temperature Does Diesel Fuel Gel?
- What Are the New Red Diesel Rules